This video summarizes my (apparently helpful) answer to someone's question about Bayes' Theorem on Reddit's "Explain Like I'm Five" forum.
Bayes' Theorem allows you to look at an event that has already happened and make an educated guess about the chain of events that may have led up to that event.
You might have to pause the video in places since there is a lot of math squeezed into 9 minutes.
I'm happy to answer specific questions if you put them in the comments. If you need more help, I offer tutoring over Skype!
![](https://s2.save4k.ru/pic/2Df1sDAyRvQ/mqdefault.jpg)