The latest YouGov Westminster Voting Intentions poll shows that The Brexit Party has rebounded back into double digits.

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The latest Westminster Voting Intentions poll from YouGov shows that although it remains in fourth place, The Brexit Party has had a bit of a rebound.

Looking at this graph showing the last five poll results, where the latest poll is represented by the blue bar on the left of each party group, you can see that the Tories are still in the lead with 38% but have dropped a point.

The Labour Party is second but has dropped two points to stand at 25%.

The lib Dems are still in third place and static on 16%.

But The Brexit Party has regained 4 points to get back into double digits with 11%.

Now this could be a response to the news that, in the absence of an electoral deal, Nigel Farage would field 600 Brexit Party candidates across England, Scotland and Wales. As well as rumours that the Tory manifesto could include in it a pledge not to take the UK out of the EU without a deal.

Now many saw that as a U-turn on their previous policy that Boris would work towards a deal with the EU during the transition period but, if a deal was not in place at the end of the transition period on the 31st of December 2020, then the UK would just leave on WTO terms anyway.

Just goes to show how tightly strung this whole election is and that the Tories cannot afford to go soft on Brexit in an attempt to placate its own remain minded members as well as hoover up some Lib Dem and Labour voters. That tactic could well backfire on them.

But this has once again raised the subject of Brexit vote splitting and letting Jeremy Corbyn and his hard left Labour Party into power through the back door.

And looking at analysis of the polling data by Chris Hanretty of Royal Holloway University of London, the Daily Mail says it:

"...suggests the Brexit Party could split the Leave vote in more than 30 Tory target seats, potentially robbing Boris Johnson of a Commons majority."

And the report says the current prediction would be that the Labour MPs Ed Miliband, Yvette Cooper and Tom Watson could end up being rescued at this election by Nigel Farage.

And The Sun follows this up with a prediction that, if The Brexit Party stands a candidate:

In the Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford seat of Yvette Cooper, the Tories could lose by 5.8%.

In Ed Miliband's Doncaster North constituency the Tories could lose by 12.7%.

In West Bromwich East, Tom Watson could win by 4.7% over the Tories - but the wild card here might be George Galloway, as I think he is also planning to make a tilt at that particular seat.

And in Coventry North West, Labour could retain the seat by a mere 1.7% over the Tories.

But let's take a closer look at the figures.

In Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford, the prediction is that Labour would get 32%, the Tories would get 26.2% and The Brexit Party would get 21.7%.

Now, given that nominations are expected to close in a week's time on the 14th of November, there is still time for polling to change. And if the Brexit Party continues to gain ground, especially in these types of seats, then it could be the Tories getting in the way of Brexit.

In West Bromwich East the prediction is Labour 34.5%, the Tories 29.8% and The Brexit Party 17.9% - which may be a push too far for Farage to overtake the Tories in the polls there.

That would also go for Coventry North West where the prediction is Labour 31.8%, Tories 30.1% and The Brexit Party 16.1%.

But it's a completely different picture in Doncaster North, where Labour would get 36.2%, The Brexit Party would get 23.8% and the Tories coming next with 23.5%.

Now, as Nigel Farage continues to push hard the massage that the Boris treaty deal is just another Brexit In Name Only (BRINO), we could see The Brexit Party squeezing the Tory vote very hard in all these types of seats.

#GeneralElection

#NigelFarage

#BrexitParty

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