One of the biggest problems for Ukraine is disagreement with the U.S. about the endgame of the war. Ukraine wants victory, but the Biden administration is concerned about escalation management. In this video I explain the American policy, and what Biden is trying to achieve. There are several types of potential escalation that the American government is trying to balance, and to some extent they are trapped: They must support Ukraine to avoid one type of escalation, but it can lead to another type of escalation if Ukraine is too successful.
I also discuss why the policy of escalation management probably won't work in the long run.
0:00 Growing Ukraine optimism
1:30 Ukraine's vision of victory
2:24 Biden's goal of escalation management
4:21 Escalation from Russian victory
5:10 Red line escalation
6:45 Escalation from Russian collapse
8:15 Balancing escalation potential
11:05 Peace negotiations
12:29 Problems with Biden's approach
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