•Turkey’s municipal elections will be held on 31st of March. At stake are Turkey’s largest cities, Istanbul, Ankara and Izmir, all governed by opposition CHP mayors.

•For Erdogan’s crony regime to prosper, winning these three are vital. He is campaigning personally and spending lavishly.

•What do the recent polls show? Is Erdogan’s party ahead?

•What could change between now and end-March.

•What would be major implications for economic policy and national political dynamics, if Erdogan’s AKP loses a second time?


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