볼턴, 북핵 해법으로 "리비아 모델에 대해 많은 생각하고 있어"
Washington may benchmark Libya's model of denuclearization when dealing with North Korea.
Meaning, Pyongyang needs to dismantle all of its nuclear weapons before the U.S. makes any concessions.
But according to our Lee Jiwon, there are strong doubts as to whether such an approach is feasible.
The U.S. is considering using Libya's model of denuclearization as a benchmark during its negotiations with North Korea over its nuclear program.
That's according to White House National Security Advisor John Bolton,... who told Fox News on Sunday that the North has to give up all of its nuclear weapons before the U.S. gives the regime anything in return.
"We have very much in mind the Libya model from 2003, 2004. There are obviously differences. The Libyan program was much smaller. But that was basically the agreement that we made. And so we'll want to test North Korea in this first meeting for evidence that they have made that strategic decision."
He added that North Korea had already agreed to give up all aspects of its nuclear program in its promise with the South in 1992,... but didn't follow through on that agreement.
Libya, however, voluntarily gave up all of its disarmament in a rather short period of time of some 3 years.
But an official from South Korea's top office had said in March that North Korea's denuclearization cannot be done in the same way as Libya's,... as Pyongyang's program is much more developed,... and it isn't as easy as plugging out a TV cable.
Many experts also say that what Pyongyang and Washington want from each other isn't quick or simple to achieve.
"Security guarantees for North Korea is not something the Trump administration can promise. That issue is in the hands of the congress. Building a U.S. embassy in the North and normalizing ties is a slow and complicated process,... and it won't be easy, as the democrats want not just denuclearization, but also an improvement in the North's human rights conditions."
Many experts outside of South Korea say that the Trump administration should not consider the Libyan model as an example to give to the North, as the U.S. had launched military action against Libya years after the Libyan dictator dismantled its nuclear weapons.
"I think the U.S. has a spotty record on security assurances. We have the Libya and the Ukraine cases where after the fall of the Soviet Union, Ukraine relinquished nuclear weapons around its soil. And then when Russia invaded the Ukraine, the U.S. did nothing. So it's not quite clear why you would want to refer to failed models that got off on consequences to those who followed them."
Noting that a new 'North Korean' model is needed, the experts also pointed out at how policies have always changed along with different administrations, and as such, the North would want its denuclearization commitment to be equally corresponded with a 'complete, verifiable, irreversible' guarantee of its security.
Lee Ji-won, Arirang News.
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