Early Elections In AP?
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While Naidu is rallying all the anti-BJP forces, even embracing his arch rival Congress, Jagan chooses to remain equidistant from the two national parties.Two leaders, two parties and two completely different political strategies are underway in the Telugu states. While Chandrababu Naidu is on a hectic mission to rally all the anti-BJP forces across the nation by even embracing his arch rival Congress, Jagan Mohan Reddy’s YSRCP chooses to remain equidistant from the two national parties despite facing allegations of arriving at a tacit deal with the BJP.Naidu believes that placing TDP in an appropriate national political contest helped it in 2014 and will do so in 2019 too. On the contrary, Jagan expects to benefit from a strategy of regional confinement.Writing in the Economic and Political Weekly (July 12, 2014), this author explains how the national factor helped Naidu in the last general elections: “The sense of helplessness strongly instilled in the Seemandhra electorate in turn also generated a feeling that the residual state of Andhra Pradesh desperately needed help from the central government. Jagan Mohan Reddy failed to acknowledge this new sentiment among the people. In fact, Jagan Mohan Reddy was also one among the leaders who were responsible for creating such a sense of helplessness. Chandrababu Naidu demonstrated consummate political skills by arriving at an early understanding with the Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and converted the threat into an opportunity. The strong Modi sentiment evident across the country convinced the average voter in the Seemandhra region that Chandrababu Naidu could form part of a winning combination at the Centre and could deliver for the truncated state without a capital.While Chandrababu Naidu could successfully locate himself in a national political context that was considered so crucial for Seemandhra in the wake of bifurcation, Jagan Mohan Reddy demonstrated an utter lack of strategy. He even sent signals of extending support to the much discredited United Progressive Alliance which proved to be costly to his electoral prospects. Jagan Mohan Reddy’s stand of supporting any possible formation at the Centre for the benefit of the state failed to convince the electorate. This is because of the discernible political trend in favour of the NDA.”The TDP leadership believes that PM Narendra Modi’s image is now on the decline, evident from the results of the series of bye-elections held across the nation, and captured in many opinion surveys too. Added to this, there is a simmering discontent against the Modi regime for the manner in which Andhra Pradesh was treated, especially the denial of Special Category Status (SCS) to the state. Any alliance with the BJP would prove to be costly for the TDP given the antipathy towards the NDA-led central government. All the political parties, including the opposition YSRCP, have been fighting for SCS, in the background of growing resentment against the Centre for the state of Andhra Pradesh as per the then Prime Minister’s assurance in the Rajya Sabha
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