Allan Lichtman, creator of 13 Keys to the White House, accurately predicts presidential elections. In this video, he goes through his prediction model and explains if he think Joe Biden or Donald Trump is likely to win.

Due note this is not his final prediction.

0:00-10:42 Explaining 13 Keys to the White House
10:42-11:54 Midterm Gains Key 1
11:54-12:21 Primary Contest Key 2
12:21-12:31 Incumbency Key 3
12:31-13:59 Third Party Key 4
13:59-14:39 Short Term Economy Key 5
14:39-15:15 Long Term Economy Key 6
15:15-16:03 Major Policy Change Key 7
16:03-16:38 Social Unrest Key 8
16:38-17:59 Scandal Key 9
17:59-18:15 Biden Victory Already?
18:15-18:46 Foreign/Military Success Key 10
18:46-18:58 Foreign/Military Failure Key 11
18:58-19:28 Charismatic Incumbent Key 12
19:28-20:45 Charismatic Challenger Key 13
20:45-22:26 Final assessment

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