Sunday’s springlike temperatures are giving way to winter conditions across the Northeast, with the threat of snow rising for New York and New England from a fast-moving storm that will hit late Wednesday.
New York could get 8 to 12 inches (20 to 30 centimeters) of snow starting Wednesday afternoon from a storm that’s coming together across the western U.S., said Bob Oravec, a senior branch forecaster at the U.S. Weather Prediction Center. Earlier outlooks had called for mainly rain in the five boroughs.
“Some of the heaviest snow axis is right across the New York metropolitan area,” Oravec said. “It is kind of questionable for D.C. and Philadelphia whether it will be rain or snow. But New York City has a good chance at the moment.”
The storm will be the second of two sweeping the eastern U.S. The first, much weaker, will bring a dusting of snow to a few inches across the region Monday, just as trucks carrying Pfizer Inc.’s Covid vaccine from Michigan fan out across the country. It will be the second storm on Wednesday that will bring the worst weather to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. It has prompted winter storm watches and advisories to pop up from Kentucky to New Jersey.
Travel will be difficult in the heart of the storm, with some areas potentially experiencing snowfall rates of one to three inches per hour, and there is a chance of high winds along the coast, said Tom Kines, a meteorologist at AccuWeather Inc. “For those that have to travel it is going to be tough.”
The storm’s track will be vital in determining where the heaviest snow falls because a slight shift would bring more rain, keeping accumulation down, or more snow than many places got all last year, he said.
“Somebody is probably going to get more than a foot out of this and it is probably somebody in eastern Pennsylvania, the Catskills or maybe even southern Connecticut,” Kines said. “The one forecasting problem with this storm is there is going to be a pretty sharp cutoff on the northern and western side.”
For the major cities along the Interstate 95 corridor, “New York and Boston stand the best chance for a big storm out of this,” he said. Philadelphia, Baltimore and Washington could have enough rain and sleet to mix in to keep snow depths lower.
Winter storms caused $2.1 billion in insured losses across the U.S. last year and about $3 billion in 2018, according to Munich Re. The snowy and icy weather also snarls airline, highway and rail traffic, as well as creating power outages and affecting retail sales. In 2019, 13 people died across the U.S. from winter weather, according to the National Weather Service.
The winter blast comes after temperatures soared to 62 degrees Fahrenheit (17 Celsius) in Central Park and 66 degrees in Washington on Sunday, the National Weather Service said. The readings will continue to drop through Monday with a low of 30 forecast overnight.
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