Entering June, Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by 1.2% according to the latest polling average. Trump has led in 8 of the last 10 surveys, most of which came in before the conviction verdict was delivered in the Manhattan court case. But how are the two candidates performing state-by-state? In order to be elected president, a candidate must secure at least 270 electoral college votes out of the 538 up for grabs across the entire country.

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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.

This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.

Hashtags: #2024election #joebiden #donaldtrump

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