Massive Price Gains Ahead! Everything Is About to Change for Gold & Silver Prices - Peter Krauth
In his book The Great Silver Bull, Peter Krauth derived a valuation of $300 silver through technical analysis. Krauth has a model that forecasts that gold's price will rise to 5,000 dollars by 2030, which would drag silver's price up to $300. This is due to gold's use as an inflation hedge.
Peter Krauth is the publisher of The Silver Stock Investor and a prominent figure in the world of precious metals investing. In today’s video, Peter Krauth shares his analysis of silver's potential peak price, drawing parallels with the 1970s silver market. He analyzes gold prices, the gold-silver ratio, and US home prices, suggesting silver could hit 300 dollars during the current bullish trend. Investor interest in silver has improved in the first quarter of this year, partly reflecting optimism that the start of a rate-cutting cycle is in sight, which the US Federal Reserve had reaffirmed after the central bank's March meeting, it said.
Based on his analysis, Krauth uses historical home prices to estimate silver's value today, suggesting it could be above 300 dollars. Additionally, Krauth considers higher inflation rates of 7-8%, aligning with the 300-dollar silver price range. Historically, gold and silver have seen significant price increases during inflationary periods. For instance, during the inflationary years of the late 1970s, gold prices skyrocketed. Similarly, silver prices followed suit when inflation surged in the early 1980s. This pattern is not coincidental. These precious metals are known as 'inflation hedges' for a reason. They have an intrinsic value that doesn't erode in the face of inflation.
However, Peter Krauth acknowledges potential disruptions to silver-dependent industries due to supply constraints and pricing strategies.
Regarding silver inventories on platforms such as LBMA London, Shanghai, and COMEX, Peter Krauth highlights a notable decrease over the past three years. He predicts a surge in silver prices due to significant declines in these inventories, suggesting industry dependence on dwindling supplies. Silver prices remain well supported at elevated levels as robust demand continues to outweigh supply, creating a further drawdown in above-ground stocks, according to the latest research from the Silver Insitute.
According to the Silver Institute, after a strong start to the year, record industrial usage and a supply deficit should support Silver.
Notably, Krauth observes a 40% decrease in SLV over three years, possibly tied to SLV unit prices. He predicts a 12-24 month drawdown before secondary inventories run out, signaling a bullish silver market.
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