Last year our external affairs minister S Jaishankar gave a statement saying POK is an integral part of India and we expect one day to have physical jurisdiction over it which means his intent was clear India will take back POK from the clutches of Pakistan.
This statements has triggered a debate over possible implications if India takes back PoK.
POK ie Pakistan occupied Kashmir and it won't be wrong if we call it illegally occupied Kashmir by Pakistan. POK comprises of many different regions.
These are called :- 1. gilgit baltistan ( pakistan control) 2. Azad kashmir ( pakistan control) the area of Shaksgam valley which is gifted by Pakistan to China.
One of the interesting facts about POK is that POK claims that it is a self governing assembly, but the matter of fact is that it works under the control of Pakistan.
Now lets discuss How can India take back the POK.
But before jumping on any conclusion, let us try to understand how the operation of taking back POK may look like. We all know that taking back POK is nearly impossible to happen solely through the diplomacy routes. We have already lost more than 60 years doing so. It also clear that Pakistan isn't going to hand over POK to India peacefully.
So the only option India has is military action. However, one important thing to note here is that the military action should be short, swift and decisive.
A prolonged war increases the risk of crossing the nuclear threshold which no one would welcome. We should keep in mind that there is a high risk of two front war if China gets involved actively. Its passive involvement will anyways be there.
Before capturing the territory, important military installations need to be taken down first, because POK is highly militarized by Pakistan. Airstrikes, movement of armored formations and infantry, use of strategic weapons like missiles, and action by the Indian Navy in the Arabian sea should be done with close cooperation & coordination. The recent conflict of Armenia and Azerbaijan is one good example of how Azerbaijan taken back the nagorno karabakh from Armenia in a swift military action.
Implications
1.Talking about the possible implications of this, We will start with Economy. The cost of war is always tremendous. With increase in new weapons and technologies, wars are becoming expensive.
But what will India gain from it?
PoK is full of natural resources. Hydropower potential of the region is immense. Thus the PoK can contribute towards India’s increasing energy demands. Also there is huge scope for tourism industry.
2. Now we will talk about political implications.
In India, we have some patriots who can’t stand for unity when the question of national interest especially national security comes up. You are smart enough to figure out regarding whom I am talking. Also, the support of common people will depend on how successful this operation is.
If we see it from international point of view, events of capturing a territory is very rare in recent times and may draw international criticism from China and many other Muslim countries spear headed by Turkey.
3. Relations With Pakistan
Post this action the relationship with Pakistan will be all time low and it will look for all possible opportunity to inflict heavy damage to India.
The India Pakistan international borders will become new battle ground between the countries and not at the LOC(Line of Control) which is inside India’s territory.
Now Pakistan’s focus will be shifted towards taking back PoK. Taking back Kashmir will be less significant now for Pakistani strategists.
4.Jammu And Kashmir
With difficulty in support from Pakistan, separatism in Kashmir will reduce drastically. The union territory will experience stability and economic development and prosperity which is much deserved by the state.
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