If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck, it's this video

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Thanks to Cliff, Vadim, Kate and Amber for their input.



Sources:

Bar-Hillel, Maia; Neter, Efrat. “How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A DisjunctionFallacy in Probability Judgments”.

Chapman, Gretchen B; Johnson, Eric. “Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value”.

Gigerenzer, Gerd. How do smart people make smart decisions?
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Gigerenzer, Gerd. How to Stay Smart in a Smart World.
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Gilovich, Thomas; Griffin, Dale; Kahneman, Daniel: editors. “Heuristics and biases : the psychology of intuitive judgment.”

Haselton, Martie G.; Nettle, Daniel; Andrews, Paul W. “The Evolution of Cognitive Bias”.

Kahneman, Daniel. “Thinking, Fast and Slow”.

Northcraft, Gregory B.; Neale, Margaret A. “Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions”. Gregory B Northcraft, Margaret A Neale

Shulman, Ekaterina. Lecture: “Cognitive Distortions" [ Ссылка ]

Tversky, Amos; Kahneman, Daniel. “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases”.

additional references:
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