YouGov have now released their latest MRP poll. We're getting a consistent picture building up that the Conservatives are, on the balance of probability, the most likely to lead the opposition. However, the same polls also say that it will only take a little nudge to propel the Lib Dems into second place. The election is no longer about who forms the government, it is who holds that government accountable: the Tories or the Lib Dems.

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