NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Ernesto / 05L
Warning 26 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 18.8N 86W.2
Location 140 miles E of Chetumal, Mexico
Movement 300° (WNW) at 13 knots
Maximum sustained winds 70 knots gusting to 85 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 140 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 35 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Yucatan Peninsula, Belize
Next warning from NHC at 0000 GMT
Ernesto has intensified to a hurricane and continues to make for the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula. The storm will have weakened when it reemerges over the extreme southern waters of the Bay of Campeche, but is expected to restrengthen prior to making final landfall in mainland Mexico. There is an outside possibility for Ernesto to emerge over the Eastern Pacific Ocean and regenerate there.
Regional warnings
A hurricane WARNING is in force for Cozumel and from Chetumal to Tulum on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula as well as for the coast of Belize from Belize City north to the Mexican border.
A tropical storm WARNING is in force from Tulum to Cabo Catoche on the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula as well as from Celestun south and west to Chilitipec; the coast of Belize from Belize City south to the Guatemala border.
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Rainfall: 3 to 5 inches, locally up to 8 inches along the north coast of Honduras and the east coast of Nicaragua. 4 to 8 inches, locally up to 12 inches in southern parts of the Yucatan Peninsula including Belize. These rainfall totals could cause lifethreatening mudslides and flash floods.
Storm surge: 2 to 4 feet above normal tidal levels near and north of the point of landfall. Large and dangerous waves will accompany the surge. A surge of 1 to 3 feet can be expected in the warning area along the Gulf coast of Mexico.
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