Babak Emamian interview BBC Persian
4 May 2024
British Local and Mayoral Election 2024
Bad results for Conservative Party but not a convincing performance for Labour Party.
Small Political Parties are having much bigger impact on the election.
General Election forecast 2024 based on Local Election results
1) General Election prediction based on Local Election results pointing to Labour Party with most seats in the Parliament but well short of a majority.
2) Polls forecasting Labour Party with 295 seats well short of 326 for a majority in the Parliament, to form a Government.
3) Labour Party will be 31 seats short of a majority.
Electors’ sentiment
1) Electors are upset with the Conservative Party.
2) They are not confident in Labour Party for delivering better solutions to problems.
3) Labour Party yet to offer concrete policies on economy except higher taxation.
4) Somehow Labour Party believes that higher taxation will lead to higher economic growth.
Small Political Parties are having much bigger impact on the election
1) Small Parties are the Green, Reform, Communists, Gaza supporters, Islamists etc
2) Previously the Green Party was often defined as Communists and fanatics about environment.
3) Recently the Islamists have joined the Green Party, making the combination more fanatical.
4) Leeds Green Party councillor, Mothin Ali shouts ‘Allahu Akbar’ and ‘win for Gaza’. He said his election was a ‘win for the people of Gaza’ and claiming that Muslims are voting on different issues from rest of electorate.
Economic issues in Britain
1) Cost of living and inflation
2) Lack of access to cheaper energy
3) Lack of access to skilled labour market
4) Lack of free access to International Markets such as EU, USA etc
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