There were high hopes for Roblox NYSE: RBLX going into the Q1 release, and they were shattered on the rocks of reality. The reality is that the metaverse, as neat as it sounds, just isn’t producing the accelerating growth that market participants had come to expect. The last report, Q4 2023, provided hope and pointed to much stronger results than were reported for Q1. The Q1 results aren’t bad but are far short of expectations and compounded by even weaker guidance that has deflated the market.
The upshot is that Roblox may now trade at a reasonable level. The market is down 30% from the pre-release level in pre-market trading and is still above critical support at the bottom of its trading range. The market may fall another 10% to retest the bottom, but support is expected to be as strong at this level as it has been. The risk is that RBLX shares will fall to a new low, opening the door to a deeper decline that could shave another 50% off the price.
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