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I am a Ukrainian. My country has been invaded by Russia. In this video I will tell you what happened on the two hundred and seventy ninth day of the war.
Disclaimer. The thumbnail does not feature the author of the content. The author of the content does not receive any classified material from any source and uses only publicly available information.
Day 279: November 29
First of all, today, Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russians attacked Serebryanka. Many news sources started to say that this means that the Ukrainians lost control over half of the forest because, given that Bilohorivka is still under Ukrainian control, the only way the Russians could attack it is from the forest. However, this is not true. After the Russians returned control over Zolotarivka, they gained access to the highlands. If we look at the topographic map, we can see how from Zolotarivka, the Russians get access to the red area, from which they can attack multiple settlements at once: Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamianske, Hryhorivka, and even Serebryanka. And this is actually not the first time they have done it. By leveraging the heights and dense tree belt areas, the Russians can, with ease, go through the region undetected and conduct an attack. They can do it even easier if they launch multiple attacks simultaneously to fix Ukrainian troops and prevent a counterattack. And this is exactly what they did. Today they assaulted not only Serebryanka but also Bilohorivka and Verkhnokamianske. The purpose of these attacks was mainly to disturb Ukrainian operations in the forest because, even according to Russian sources, Ukrainians launch their attacks from here in the direction of Dibrova.
Moving a bit to the south, the Russians also assaulted Spirne. As you might remember, two weeks ago, I told you that the Ukrainians had liberated this settlement and pushed the front line up to 7 km back from its previous position. Recent clashes indicate that the Russians still did not manage to develop their success here and push till Vyimka. Their main goal here was to take Ivano-Darivka and Vyimka, collapse the front line from the north to the south, and gain access to the northern suburb of Soledar. Unfortunately for the Russians, the Ukrainian defense in Spirne, Bilohorivka, and Yakovlivka stood since May, and without these settlements, the Russians were forced to storm Soledar in front, which proved to be an impossible task. The Russians have been storming Soledar for more than three months, but after taking control over the suburbs, they failed to advance even an inch towards the main Ukrainian fortifications. Overall, the northern part of the defense line seems to be solid.
When it comes to the southern part of the defense line, here, the Russians have been gaining momentum lately. After the Ukrainians conducted their third counterattack and reduced Russian progress to zero, the Russians finally started adapting. This time they decided to focus on securing their flanks because massive flank attacks were precisely the reason why they kept losing their progress. And this was the right decision on their part because, over the last week, the Ukrainian tactical position has deteriorated significantly. First of all, the Russians took under their control the train station Mayorsk. This was a crucial step because, if we once again look at the topographic map, we can see that Mayorsk is located on high ground. Previously, by controlling the heights of Kudrdiumivka and Mayorsk, the Ukrainians could provide excellent cover for the defense line in between, which not only goes along the hill but also along the rails, so it was very difficult for the Russians to penetrate it. Once the Russians took Mayorsk, the Ukrainian defense was undermined and started falling apart from the south to the north. First, the Russians cleared the checkpoints in the middle and then, by leveraging the access to the hills, started assaulting Ozarianivka. The latest reports suggest that Ozarianivka already fell, and fierce fights are taking place in Kurdiumivka. In my estimation, the probability that the Ukrainians will conduct a successful counterattack here and push the Russians to their initial positions is very low. The Russians already have a substantial tactical advantage here, although it still be possible to do something about Ozarianivka. In fact, Russian sources reported that the Ukrainians had reinforced this area even more, so we will see very heavy clashes in this region in the coming days.
