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Russian president Vladimir Putin visited Pyongyang for the first time in 24 years on June 19 and signed an agreement with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Details of the agreement are unknown, but Kim said the two countries have a "fiery friendship." Experts believe the agreement will lead to closer industrial and military ties between the two countries , which could continue Russia's large-scale war against Ukraine, Forbes reports .
The South Korean government immediately responded to this agreement. The country's national security adviser, Chang Ho-jin, said that if Pyongyang supplies Russia with more weapons, Seoul could provide them to Kyiv.
South Korea has not yet announced closer ties with Ukraine, but if it does, it is likely that Ukrainian officials will ask for the same types of weapons that Russia already receives from North Korea. Russia is known to have bought a batch of powerful KN-23 submarine-launched ballistic missiles from North Korea late last year and used them to devastating effect.
"If North Korea can sell KN-23s to Russia, then South Korea can sell Hyunmoo-series SLCMs to Ukraine," said Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey.
It is not yet known whether Ukraine will ever receive the Hyunmoo-2B. However, the US has already given Kyiv dozens of missiles from the Army Tactical Missile System, which have a range of up to 300 km, but insists on their limited use.
"Washington allows Kyiv to target ATGMs at targets in Russian-occupied Ukraine, but not at targets in Russia itself. That means Russian frontline air bases that house dozens of Sukhoi fighter-bombers armed with devastating glider bombs are out of reach," the report says.
However, the Ukrainian military can strike these bases using UAVs, but light drones do not have enough firepower to destroy aircraft based at Russian airfields.
However, with a few well-aimed ATGMs or other ballistic missiles, "Ukraine could potentially disable the entire operational fleet" of fighter-bombers at the Malshevo airfield in Voronezh, the Ukrainian analytical group Frontelligence Insight noted. However, this could happen "if permission to carry out such a strike is received."
Even without permission to strike on Russian territory, Ukraine could use South Korean missiles to good effect, since there are many valuable Russian facilities in the occupied territories that could be destroyed, Forbes concludes.
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