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Trend Trading: How to Build a Trend-Based Trading Strategy. [ Ссылка ] PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS VIDEO SO WE CAN DO MORE! Trading the Trend. How to build and trade a trend-following strategy and make money in the process. It makes sense to trade with a trend, in principle. It’s easy to see that the trend continues the current movement, and if you have a trade going then you will continue to make a profit. That’s why traders have the saying “Let the trend be your friend”.
But it is not really as simple as seeing a price going up and deciding to get in on that trade. Trends don’t happen straight up, at least very rarely, as they have pullbacks or retracements which can take back some of the gain, or if you trade at the wrong time can hit your stoploss and take you out for a loss almost as soon as you get in.
When you’re trading, it often works out better if you keep it very simple. Use simple indicators, don’t look for complicated patterns and features, use just as much complication as you need to determine what you need to know.
In this case, you want to know that the trend is in place, which you get from a long moving average, and you want to avoid buying into the market when the price is stretched, as this is the place where you will probably see a pullback.
One simple way to check on this is to set a couple of moving averages, say a five period and a twenty period. When they move further away from each other, that is a sign that the market is getting stretched and you have to be careful about entering the market at this time.
Some people worry about missing out on a trend, and therefore potentially losing out on profit. You need to take a longer view than that. There’ll always be another trend coming along and you don’t want to trade on something which does not have a good chance of success. The traders’ saying that encapsulates this is “Don’t chase a trend”. On balance, it’s just not worth it to take more risk then you need to.
Of course, trends do sometimes stop or even reverse. Usually there’s a reason for this, even though you may not know it or be able to find it out. But Newton’s law of motion, “a body in motion continues in motion unless acted upon by an external force”, also seems to apply to the price movement in a trading chart. With a strong trend, it is fair to assume that it will continue until you see some hesitation in the market forces.
So in summary, to keep it simple, you identify a strong trend by taking a long term moving average, say an SMA(200), reinforce this opinion by looking at the SMA(50) or SMA(20) midrange average, and wait for the right time. You can determine the right time by various indicators that we have covered before, or simply look at the SMA(5), see when it pulls back to be close to or crossing the SMA(20), and judge it is the right time to get on the trade before the trend powers back up.
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